China-Russia military exercises near Taiwan force US to revise plans, intelligence chiefs say

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China’s joint military exercises with Russian forces near Taiwan have prompted new US defense planning, two top US intelligence officials told Congress on Thursday.

The admission came during testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee in which they also discussed Beijing’s evolving support for Moscow and what they called the two nations’ “pre-positioning” of vulnerabilities in US military and infrastructure assets.

US Air Force Lieutenant General Jeffrey Kruse, director of the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency, told the committee that the Chinese-Russian operations, “seen over the last two years, have caused the department to relook at its analysis and become even more concerned about what are our joint-force requirements” in the region.

“Even if Russia and China in a military force are not interoperable, they would certainly be cooperative, and we would need to take that into account in force structure and planning,” Kruse said. “We are in the middle of that revision today.”

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China and Russia host joint navy exercises in Sea of ​​Japan to deepen military cooperation

China and Russia host joint navy exercises in Sea of ​​Japan to deepen military cooperation

Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines, who accompanied Kruse, said that the joint exercises show that “China definitely wants Russia to be working with them and we see no reason why [Russia] wouldn’t”.

The exercises, she said, indicate “this increasing cooperation in the ‘no limits partnership‘… just across really every sector of society – political, economic, military, technological and so on – and so that is something that our understanding is prompting new planning across the government in many respects.”

Last year, the two countries conducted joint air force patrols over the East China Sea and Sea of ​​Japan, the sixth under the annual cooperation plan between the two militaries since 2019. The latest joint patrol prompted South Korea, one of Washington’s closest allies in Asia , to scramble aircraft.

Chinese and Russian defense ministers reaffirm close bilateral ties

Senator Tom Cotton, Republican of Arkansas, suggested that China had already overstepped a “red line” that US President Joe Biden set when he warned Beijing not to supply Russia with lethal weapons that could be used in its war against Ukraine.

In response, Haines said that “there was a lot of focus on China not providing lethal support and what they have done is to try to avoid what is characterized as lethal support – in other words, a fully constructed gun or weapon system.

“But what has happened in the meantime is they provided effectively dual-use materials such as nitrocellulose, [and] a whole series of critically important long poles in the tent for the Russia’s reconstitution of the defense industry.”

Nitrocellulose is a raw material used in the production of propellants and explosives.

Haines added that China’s shipments of such products to Russia were among “the key factors that essentially adjusted the momentum on the battlefield in Ukraine”.

Haines told the committee that China’s shipments of dual-use products to Russia were among “the key factors that essentially adjusted the momentum on the battlefield in Ukraine”. Photo: EPA-EFE

The intelligence chiefs also accused China and Russia of embedding malware into US infrastructure or engaging in other forms of cyber disruption.

Senator Deb Fischer, Republican of Nebraska, asked about digital sleeper cells capable of “impeding US decision-making, inducing societal panic and interfering with the deployment of US forces”, elements referred to in the 2024 Annual Threat Assessment that Haines’ office produces.

“What we see is both China and Russia, effectively, pre-positioning themselves in ways that would allow them to conduct those kinds of attacks, not actually yet … engaging in those attacks,” Haines said.

She noted that weak passwords and other forms of lax cybersecurity controls were allowing such incidents.

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